Ryanair has announced a new route for its Dublin Winter 2022 schedule to Genoa.
The opening of this new route which will operate twice per week, will give Irish tourism a much-needed boost and will reinforce the airlineโs commitment to Dublin, playing a key role in the recovery of local jobs, economy, and tourism industry.
Ryanair has announced a partnership with Neste, the world leading sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) supplier, to power approx. a third of its flights at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol (AMS) with a 40% SAF blend.
This blend will reduce greenhouse gas emissions by over 60%, supporting Ryanairโs Pathway to Net Zero by 2050 decarbonisation goals. Ryanair has already significantly advanced this commitment by partnering with Trinity College Dublin to open the Ryanair Sustainable Aviation Research Centre and investing $22bn in its โGamechangerโ fleet, which offers 4% more seats but are 16% more fuel & CO2 efficient and reduce noise emissions by 40%.
Speaking at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, Ryanairโs Director of Sustainability, Thomas Fowler said:
โWe are delighted to announce this landmark deal with Neste which will see Ryanair uplift this new 40% SAF blend. SAF is a cornerstone of our Pathway to Net Zero by 2050 decarbonisation strategy and this new blend will power a third of Ryanair flights at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol while reducing greenhouse gas emissions by over 60%. We look forward to growing our partnership with Neste as we work toward achieving our goal of operating 12.5% of Ryanair flights with SAF by 2030.โ
Jonathan Wood, Nesteโs vice president Europe, Renewable Aviation said:
โWeโre excited to support Ryanair work towards its decarbonisation goals by supplying our Neste MY Sustainable Aviation Fuelโข. SAF is a key element in achieving aviationโs emission reduction goals. The aviation sector is now at a tipping point as demand increases, and policy proposals are on the table in the EU and UK to promote demand and supply of SAF. Neste is leading the transformation to SAF and investing as we speak to increase global SAF production capacity to 1.5 million tons per annum 2023. It is great to see Ryanair as the first short haul carrier take our SAF at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol and we look forward to our joint journey towards a more sustainable future.โ
Ryanair Holdings plc released March traffic statistics as follows:
ย
MAR 2021
MAR 2022
TRAFFIC
0.5m
11.2m2
L. FACTOR
77%
87%
Ryanair operated over 67,800 flights in March with an 87% load factor.
Rolling Annual
ย
TRAFFIC
27.5m
97.1m
L. FACTOR
71%
82%
PRIOR MONTHS
GUESTS
LOAD FACTOR
October
11.3m
84%
November
10.2m
86%
December
9.5m1
81%
January
7.0m1
79%
February
8.7m1
86%
March
11.2m2
87%
1ย Dec, Jan & Feb traffic was badly affected by Omicron restrictions.
2ย Mar traffic was impacted by the Russian invasion of Ukraine which caused 2,000 flights to/from Ukraine to be cancelled in March due to airspace closures.
In other news, the company updated its guidance going forward:
Ryanair Holdings plc briefed the market that it expects to report a pre-exceptional FY22 (yr. ending on March 31, 2022) net loss of between -โฌ350m and -โฌ400m (previously guided range of -โฌ250m to -โฌ450m).ย The Ryanair Groupโs full-year traffic recovered strongly to over 97m (27.5m in FY21, but below pre-Covid traffic of 149m).
Ryanairโs balance sheet is one of the strongest in our sector with a BBB (stable) credit rating (S&P and Fitch).ย Year end (March 31) net debt dropped to โฌ1.5 bn (prior year โฌ2.3 bn), and c.90% of the Groupโs fleet of B737 aircraft are unencumbered.
Since our last market update on 31 Jan., Ryanair has increased FY23 (yr. ending on March 31, 2023) fuel hedging to 80% cover (c.65% jet swaps at $630 and 15% caps at $775 per metric ton).ย Almost 10% of Ryanairโs H1 FY24 fuel requirements are hedged at $760 (via jet swaps).
As this is a closed period, the Ryanair Groupโs next market update will be on May 16 when we release FY22 results.
Top Copyright Photo: Ryanair (Malta Air) Boeing 737-8 (200) MAX 8 9H-VUW (msn 62338) BFI (Brian Worthington). Image: 957225.
Ryanair has announced flights from London Stansted to Rovaniemi โ Lapland next winter.
The airline will operate four weekly flights from November 3, 2022
Located in Finlandโs northernmost region, Lapland is a stunning location filled with magical experiences that kids (big and small) will never forget. Experience a sleigh ride with a real-life reindeer, swap dog walking for husky sledding, stay in a cosy log cabin, see the Northern Lights and last but not least, meet the main man himself together with his team of elves and reindeer.
Ryanair has announced aย new base at Newcastle, with two based aircraft, representing an investment of $200m and 60 new direct jobs, alongside the launch of the Newcastle biggest ever schedule including 19 total routes, of which 10 new exciting summer routes to the likes of Gran Canaria, Ibiza, and Paphos. Ryanair will operate over 130 weekly flights for Summer 2022 (over 40 more than pre-pandemic Summer 2019) to give Newcastleโs holiday makers an abundance of choice to top European destinations in Italy, Spain and England whilst also giving UK tourism a much-needed boost after two lost Summers.
Ryanair has announced its decarbonization strategy โ Pathway to Net Zero.ย Developed to reduce its carbon emissions and the impact of its operations on the environment, this strategy outlines four core strategic pillars underpinning the airlineโs ambitious goal of net carbon zero by 2050:
34% decarbonization through the increased use of sustainable aviation fuels (SAF)
32% decarbonization through technological & operational improvements
24% decarbonization through offsetting & other economic measures
10% decarbonization through the introduction of better Air Traffic Management
With more than 1/3 of its decarbonization to come from the increased use of SAF, Ryanair is working with the EU and fuel suppliers to accelerate supply of SAF. As part of this, Ryanair established the Ryanair Sustainable Aviation Research Centreย in partnership with Trinity College Dublin. This partnership will deliver research in SAF, Zero Carbon Aircraft Propulsion Systems and Noise Mapping.
Ryanair will continue to invest in new technology, aircraft, as underpinned by its $22bn commitment to purchase 210 Boeing 737-8200 โGamechangerโ aircraft. To date the airline has taken delivery of 55 โGamechangerโ aircraft, which carry 4% more passengers, reduces fuel consumption & CO2 by 16% and lowers noise emissions by 40%.
The final leg of Ryanairโsย Pathway to Net Zero will come from a combination of offsetting measures, through carbon capture offset projects and the support of key govt policies and reforms, such as the introduction of the Single European Sky ATM Research (SESAR) initiative. If successfully introduced by the European Commission, the SESAR would deliver a standardized and more efficient air traffic management process, delivering a significant & immediate 10% reduction in European aviation carbon emissions.
Ryanair hasย announced that it has been forced to cut its aircraft based in Lisbon from 7 to 4 for the summer 2022 season, causing the cancellation of 5,000 flights, 900,000 passengers, and 19 Lisbon routes for Summer 2022 due to TAPโs continued blocking of landing slots, which TAP cannot and will not use at Lisbon Portela this summer. These cancellations reduce travel options for citizens/visitors, but also results in the loss of 150 highly paid aviation jobs in Lisbon.
These avoidable cancellations come after multiple attempts by Ryanair to request the Portuguese Govt to intervene to release these unused TAP S22 slots. While Ryanair delivers growth and investment in Portugal, TAP has soaked up โฌ3bn in State aid, cut its fleet by 20%, cut thousands of jobs but released less than 5% of its slots in Lisbon, thereby blocking growth of other airlines. Preventing competitors like Ryanair from using these unused slots negatively impacts the Lisbon economy, with 5,000 cancelled flights (over 950,000 fewer seats), 3 fewer based aircraft (a $300m investment), the loss of 150 highly paid aviation jobs and over โฌ250m in lost tourism revenue for Lisbon this summer.
Ryanair confirmed that these 3 aircraft and these lost 19 routes will return to Lisbon in Oct 2022 for Ryanairโs Winter schedule, since the airline already has sufficient winter slots in Lisbon for these flights.
19 LOST ROUTES IN LISBON FOR S22
Agadir Alghero Alicante Bari Billund Birmingham
Bournemouth Baden-Baden Lanzarote Madrid Malta Memmingen
Ryanair, despite the war in Europe and rising fuel prices, has announced its largest ever Summer schedule from its three London airports (Gatwick, Luton, and Stansted) with 14 new routes (181 total) to exciting destinations across Europe, including Naples, Madeira, and Stockholm. With over 100 based aircraft for Summer 2022, Ryanairโs total investment in the UK amounts to over $10 billion.
Ryanairโs Michael OโLeary said:
โWe are pleased to announce 14 new routes from our three London airports, Stansted, Luton and Gatwick, as all Covid-19 travel restrictions have now been lifted, UK citizens and visitors can book a well-deserved Summer getaway to exciting destinations such as Helsinki, Madeira and Naples. Ryanair is driving Londonโs post Covid recovery as we grow across Europe, with new aircraft and new routes.
Despite launching our biggest ever schedule, the UK Govt failed to support this recovery by delaying the reduction in APD until 2023. Ryanair again calls on the UK Govt to scrap APD completely, to allow airlines and airports to quickly restore traffic, jobs, and tourism. The 50% reduction proposed for 2023 is too little, too late as APD puts UK airports at a severe cost disadvantage versus European competitors, and the absence of Govt support for aviation and tourism recovery creates further barriers to UK traffic and growth.
ย To allow our customers and visitors to/from London to book their Summer getaway at the lowest fares,ย we are launching a 3-day seat sale with fares available from just ยฃ19,99 one way for travel until October 2022, which must be booked by Friday the 4thย of March. Since these super low fares will be snapped up quickly, customers should log onto http://www.ryanair.com to avoid missing out.โ
With summer just around the corner and that long-awaited sunny holiday now top of mind, Ryanair has revealed its top holiday destinations for summer 2022:
Lanzarote:ย always a popular choice, Lanzarote continues to welcome flocks of UK holidaymakers year after year. Enjoy its golden sand beaches, crystal clear waters, authentic Spanish tapas while taking in its unique volcanic landscape โ the views are as breath-taking as it sounds!
Tenerife:ย the largest of the Canary Islands famed for its diversity of landscape and great weather all year round. The island has many natural wonders and traditional towns full of culture to explore this summer.ย ย
Fuerteventura: a famous holiday destination boasting white sandy beaches interrupted by cliffs and sheltered coves. A popular spot for adventure-filled tourists to enjoy water sports from surfing, windsurfing and water skiing.
Gran Canaria:ย a hikerโs paradise! This diverse, mountainous island is known for its black lava and white sand beaches. Culture vultures are equally catered for in the ancient capital of Las Palmas, with its historic architecture, enviable shopping and foodie options. A unique destination that has something for everyone and perfect for family and friends to enjoy a well-deserved break away this year.
Santorini:ย arguably the most beautiful of all the Greek islands, Santoriniโs stunning caldera poses as the ultimate centerpiece, offering the most amazing views of rugged landscapes and the whitewashed cubiform houses overlooking the sea and beaches consisting of black, red and white lava pebbles. With some of the most mesmerising sunrises and sunsets, Santorini is well known for being an island of romance โ the perfect holiday destination for couples.
S.22 capacity on sale at 114% of S.19 (pre-Covid).
5-year growth accelerates to 225m guests p.a. by FY26 (prev. 200m p.a.).
Ryanairโs Michael OโLeary, said:
ENVIRONMENT:
โEvery passenger who switches to Ryanair from legacy airlines cuts their COโ emissions by up to 50% per flight.ย Over the next 5-years our traffic will grow by 50% to 225m p.a.ย This growth will be delivered on a fleet of new B737ย โGamechangerโย aircraft, which offer 4% more seats, but burn 16% less fuel and reduce noise emissions by 40%.
Our work with the EU, fuel suppliers, and aircraft manufacturers to accelerate sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) supply continues, in partnership with Trinity College Dublin.ย Ryanair hopes to power 12.5% of our flights using SAF by 2030. Ryanair aims to cut COโ per passenger/km by 10% to less than 60 grams by 2030.ย We are working with A4E and the EU Commission to accelerate reform of the Single European Sky, to minimize ATC inefficiency and delays which will significantly lower fuel consumption, COโ emissions and flight delays.
In Q3 Ryanair published our โAviation with Purposeโ sustainability report highlighting ambitious environmental and social targets over the coming years and mapping out Ryanairโs path to net carbon zero by 2050.ย Our environmental strategy, and progress to date, enabled CDP to upgrade Ryanairโs climate protection rating to B from B- in Dec. 2021.ย This is a significant advance towards our goal of an independent climate โAโ rating within the next 2 years.
SOCIAL:
Our 5-year growth plan will create over 6,000 new well paid jobs for highly trained pilots, cabin crew and engineers all over Europe.ย Last Oct. Ryanair invested โฌ50m in a cutting-edge Aviation Skills Training Centre in Dublin and we plan to invest over โฌ100m in 2 more, high skills, training centers (one possibly in Spain/Portugal and one in CEE) during this period. To facilitate this growth, Ryanair recently ordered up to 8 CAE full flight simulators (at a value of over $80m).ย The first of these new sims delivers in FY23.
Following the success of our first Customer Panel meeting in Sept., the Panel will meet again in Madrid in the Spring.ย ย We have implemented many of these customer suggestions, including a Day of Travel service in the Ryanair App to assist customers with live updates through every step of their Ryanair journey, a new Ryanair wallet for speedy refunds and an online self-service hub.ย Our unbending commitment to delivering our customers the lowest fares, the most on-time flights, an industry lowest COโ emissions and friendly customer service has seen Ryanair record its highest ever customer satisfaction (โCSATโ) score of 89% in Q3. Our on-time performance in the 3rdย quarter, including the busy Christmas/ New Year period, was excellent with almost 90% of all Ryanair flights arriving in โon-timeโ.
COVID-19 โ RECOVERY:
We delivered a strong traffic rebound in Q2 (Sept. quarter) following the successful rollout of the EU Digital Covid Certificates (โDCCโ) in July, and the relaxation of EU travel restrictions. Q3 got off to a good start with strong bookings for the Oct. mid-term break, and less confusion (in Oct.) about the UK Govt.โs absurd โtraffic lightโ system.ย Ryanairโs load active/yield passive recovery strategy saw Oct. traffic rise to 11.3m (84% load factor). Our Nov. load factor improved to 86% (10.2m guests), albeit at lower fares.ย The sudden emergence of the Omicron variant (late Nov.), and the media hysteria it generated in Dec., forced many European Govts. to reimpose travel restrictions in the run-up to Christmas, which significantly weakened peak (close-in) Christmas & New Year bookings and fares.ย As a result, Dec. traffic slowed to just 9.5m (with a lower 81% load factor), well behind the expected target of 11m guests.ย Jan. capacity was cut by 33% on 22 Dec. which lowered the Jan. traffic target from 10m to between 6m-7m customers.ย We hope that the rollout of booster vaccines across Europe in recent weeks, and growing evidence that Omicron is less virulent than other variants, will enable EU Govts. to remove travel restrictions and restore consumer confidence in inter EU air travel well in advance of Easter and peak S.22.
The Covid-19 crisis accelerated the collapse of many European airlines including Flybe, Norwegian, Germanwings, Level, Stobart and led to material capacity cuts at many others including Alitalia, TAP, LOT, SAS, etc.ย The tsunami of State Aid from EU Govts. to their insolvent flag carriers (Alitalia, Air France/KLM, Iberia, LOT, Lufthansa, SAS, TAP and others) will distort EU competition and prop up high cost, inefficient, flag carriers for some years.ย Ryanair was one of very few airlines during the Covid crisis to place significant new aircraft orders, to expand our airport partnerships and to secure lower operating costs so that we can pass on even lower fares on many new routes during the post Covid recovery.ย Together with our airport partners, we are leading Europeโs traffic recovery and we plan to deliver accelerated traffic growth and jobs over the next 5 years.
GROWTH:
Over the past 9 months our Route Development team continued to work with like-minded airport partners to negotiate lower airport costs, recovery incentives and growth deals.ย In addition to 15 new bases (Agadir, Billund, Chania, Corfu, Cork, Madeira, Newcastle, Nuremberg, Riga, Stockholm, Venice (Marco-Polo), Venice (Treviso), Turin, Zadar & Zagreb), 720 new routes were announced and low-cost long term growth deals were extended in Stansted (to 2028), Bergamo (2028), Manchester (2028), East Midlands (2028) and Charleroi (2030).ย Our Group has doubled its capacity in Rome (FCO), Lisbon, Vienna and we will base a record 33 aircraft in Dublin for S.22. Regrettably, our 5 aircraft base at Frankfurt Main will close in Mar. as Frankfurtโs price increases rendered it unable to compete with the many low cost airports across Europe and Germany (Nuremberg) seeking to accelerate traffic recovery and growth.
Up to the end of Q3, Ryanair has taken delivery of 41 B737-8200 โGamechangerโ aircraft and we hope to have over 65 new aircraft in our fleet for peak S.22 when our capacity will be approx. 114% of S.19 (pre-Covid) levels.ย These Gamechangers widen the cost gap between Ryanair and all other European airlines for the next decade.ย Their operational reliability, fuel consumption and COโ emissions have so far exceeded guidelines, with universally positive passenger and crew feedback.ย Based on our 210 order book and available fleet capacity, the Ryanair Group plan to accelerate traffic growth over the next 5 years. From a pre-Covid annual traffic of 149m, we now expect to grow by 50% to over 225m guests p.a. by FY26 (previously 33% growth to 200m p.a.).
Q3 FY22 BUSINESS REVIEW:
Revenue & Costs
Q3 scheduled revenues increased 345% to โฌ0.79bn as traffic recovered strongly from 8.1m to 31.1m guests (at an 84% load factor). Despite a strong start to Q3, especially the schoolโs mid-term break in Oct., the Omicron variant, and return of travel restrictions in early Dec., significantly damaged (higher yielding) close-in Christmas & New Year bookings.ย Ave. fares in Q3 were just โฌ25 (down 24% on the same quarter pre Covid).ย Ancillary revenue delivered a solid performance, generating โฌ22 per passenger (+8%), as guests choose priority boarding and reserved seating.ย Total revenues increased by over 330% to โฌ1.47bn in Q3.
While sectors more than doubled (+220%) and traffic rose 286%, operating costs increased by just 136% to โฌ1.59bn, driven primarily by lower variable costs such as airport & handling, route charges and improved fuel burn as more Gamechangers enter the fleet (offset by the higher cost of jet fuel).ย Lower costs, coupled with rising load factors, saw unit cost per passenger in Q3 (ex-fuel) reduce to โฌ32, an excellent performance.
Our fuel requirements are almost fully hedged for Q4 FY22 (over 60% jet swaps at $580 per metric tonne, with caps hedging the balance at $750). H1 FY23 is 80% hedged (60% jet swaps at $620 and 20% caps at $715) and H2 FY23 is 70% hedged at $640.ย Carbon credits are fully hedged for FY22 and 80% hedged for FY23 at โฌ24 and โฌ45 per EUA respectively (well below the current spot price of c.โฌ85).ย Ryanairโs very strong and sensible hedging policy will deliver significant savings for all our customers and shareholders at a time when many airline competitors have unwisely reduced or abandoned sensible hedging strategies.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Ryanairโs balance sheet is one of the strongest in the industry with a BBB (stable) credit rating (S&P and Fitch), almost โฌ3bn cash (at 31 Dec.) and 90% of our B737 fleet unencumbered. In Oct. the Group repaid its UK CCFF ยฃ600m loan 5 months early.ย During the Covid crisis, net debt has risen to over โฌ2bn. We plan to reduce this net debt to zero as quickly as possible over the next 2 years.ย Strong operating cashflows, offset by โฌ0.8bn capex (mainlyย Gamechangerย deliveries and aircraft deposits), drove a slight reduction in net debt to โฌ2.1bn at 31 Dec. (31 Mar.: โฌ2.3bn). The strength of Ryanairโs balance sheet ensures that the Group is well poised to capitalise rapidly on the many growth opportunities that exist in Europe into the post Covid-19 recovery in 2022 and 2023.
OUTLOOK:
The outlook for pricing and yields for the remainder of FY22 is hugely uncertain.ย As announced on 22 Dec., our Jan. capacity was cut by 33% (reducing traffic from approx. 10m to between 6m-7m). While recent bookings have improved, following easing of travel restrictions, the booking curve remains very late and close-in, so Q4 traffic requires significant price stimulation at lower prices to quickly recover load factors which suffered steep declines due to the Omicron collapse in bookings over the Christmas/New Year period. Ryanairโs full year traffic forecast remains unchanged at โjust underโ 100m passengers, but due to Covid uncertainty the FY22 net loss guidance remains within a wider than normal range of โฌ250m to โฌ450m.ย This outturn is hugely sensitive to any further positive or negative Covid news flow and so we would caution all shareholders to expect further Covid disruptions before we here in Europe and the rest of the world can finally declare that the Covid crisis is behind us.โ
[1]ย CDP โ Carbon Disclosure Project is an independent, non-profit, global environmental reporting organisation.
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