OAG: Russia closes its aviation borders: Affected airlines will find alternatives

From OAG:

The Impact on Aeroflot

  • “Aeroflot were supposed to operate some 5,500 flights to markets in Europe… with Turkey the main country destination. Based on the current situation, Turkish Airlines have cancelled all flights to Russia until February 27, and we can expect that to be extended into March.”
  • “For Aeroflot the closure of access to European markets is a serious blow but one that had to be expected once events unfolded. The loss of access to hard currencies from countries such as Germany, Italy and Finland will hurt the airline badly.”
  • “Overflying Russian airspace is extremely expensive and Aeroflot receive a royalty from the revenue generated, so will lose more income if more countries access to the airspace is restricted.”

    Marginally Longer Flying Times

  • OAG’s flight status data is currently showing Singapore Airlines SQ317 LHR – SIN service tracking across Germany on a southerly routing, rather than routing through Russian airspace. The flight is expected to take around ten minutes longer than normal; a nuisance but not a big issue in the scheme of things.”

For airlines operating to and from North East Asia where Russian airspace has been heavily used, finding alternate routings will be slightly harder, but not impossible given the range of new aircraft types. Some may head further north with a polar routing, whilst some may head south, but either way once again the inconvenience may be offset by reduced en-route charges”

       Potential Positive Outcomes

  • “Those airlines impacted will find solutions, they always do, and in time may find some of those solutions are actually worth continuing with.”

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