Allegiant sees increased demand in May and June

Allegiant Travel Company today reported preliminary passenger traffic results for May 2020.

“We are continuing to see material improvement in demand from the April lows,” stated Gregory Anderson executive vice president, chief financial officer and principal accounting officer of Allegiant Travel Company. “For the entire month we averaged over $2 million in gross bookings per day. As such, we are anticipating our cash burn per day in the second quarter to be down to approximately $1.75 million. This number includes variable components related to increased capacity and a higher fuel price than previously forecasted, as well as an increased rate of voucher redemptions. This daily cash burn improves upon our previously expected estimate of $2.1 million per day, which was based on $750 thousand in daily gross bookings. In addition, we are anticipating the third quarter cash burn to be less than $1 million per day if $2.0 million in daily gross bookings were to remain consistent. This is less than the $1.5 million per day we spoke about during our earnings call. Even with this improvement in demand, we are continuing to focus on finding ways to reduce costs. As we have stated previously, the flexibility which is central to our business model allows us to take advantage of these periods of extremely low demand – which is clearly unique in our industry.”

“We have been pleased to see that May demand trends were stronger than anticipated,” stated Drew Wells, vice president of revenue. “In fact, during Memorial Day weekend Allegiant accounted for approximately eight percent of all travelers going through a TSA checkpoint versus two percent last year.  During the first week of June we operated 70 percent of our schedule versus roughly 50 percent of the schedule in May. Even with the increases in capacity, we were able to maintain load factors just shy of 50 percent. With Las Vegas casinos opening early June, we expect modest improvements to continue throughout the month.”

Scheduled Service
May 2020 May 2019 Change
Passengers 362,528 1,269,429 (71.4%)
Revenue passenger miles (000) 326,748 1,093,781 (70.1%)
Available seat miles (000) 690,624 1,308,911 (47.2%)
Load factor 47.3% 83.6% (36.3pts)
Departures 4,654 9,086 (48.8%)
Average stage length (miles) 856 843 1.5%

Total System*
May 2020 May 2019 Change
Passengers 365,519 1,281,742 (71.5%)
Available seat miles (000) 710,712 1,357,963 (47.7%)
Departures 4,795 9,416 (49.1%)
Average stage length (miles) 855 844 1.3%

*Total system includes scheduled service and fixed fee contract.  System revenue passenger miles and system load factor are not useful statistics as system available seat miles include both ASMs flown by fixed fee flying as well as non-revenue producing repositioning flights used for operational needs.  Fixed fee flying is better measured through dollar contribution versus operational statistics.

Preliminary Financial Results
$ per gallon
May 2020 estimated average fuel cost per gallon – system $.91